Francesco Laconi EQUITY RESEARCH
EXCEL MODEL — ONLINE VIEW

Southern Copper Corporation

SCCO · SCCO_Portfolio.xlsx · hover a computed cell to see its formula · Download workbook
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ABCDEFGHIJKLM
1Market Data
2Colour key:Company filingOnline / marketComputedAnalyst input
3
4A — CURRENT MARKET METRICS
5Analysis DateEnter today's date — carried into the report header
6Data Sourcee.g. "Yahoo Finance" | "Bloomberg" | "Broker platform"
7
8Current Stock Price172.97$Per share, as of Analysis Date
952-Week High$
1052-Week Low$
11Shares Outstanding826.10M sharesFrom 10-K cover page or latest quarterly filing
12
13Market Capitalization142,890.52$M
14Net Debt2,446.10$MFrom 10-K balance sheet (Total Debt − Cash)
15Enterprise Value145,336.62$M
16
17EV / LTM EBITDA18.47×[computed by recalc.py from EV ÷ LTM EBITDA in Data]
18P / LTM EPS (P/E)33.01×[computed by recalc.py from Price ÷ latest EPS]
19LTM FCF per Share4.15$[computed by recalc.py]
20FCF Yield0.02%[computed by recalc.py]
21Dividend Yield0.02%[computed by recalc.py]
22
23B — COST OF CAPITAL (WACC INPUTS)
24Risk-Free Rate (10Y UST)0.0447%Enter as decimal (e.g. 4.46% → 0.0446) | Source: US Treasury
25Equity Risk Premium (ERP)0.0418%Enter as decimal | Source: Damodaran (updated Jan each year)
26Beta (Levered)1.1100×5-year monthly vs. S&P 500 | Source: Yahoo Finance / Macrotrends
27Size Premium0%Usually 0 for large-cap companies | Source: Duff & Phelps
28Company-Specific Risk Premium0.0225%Your call: add for single-commodity risk, country risk, etc.
29Cost of Equity (Ke)0.12%
30
31Pre-Tax Cost of Debt (Kd)0.0641%Enter as decimal | From 10-K: interest expense ÷ avg gross debt
32Marginal Tax Rate0.3825%Enter as decimal | Effective tax rate from latest annual filing
33After-Tax Cost of Debt0.04%
34
35Debt / Total Capital (market weights)0.0168%Enter as decimal | = Total Debt ÷ (Market Cap + Total Debt)
36Equity / Total Capital0.98%
37WACC0.11%
38
39C — HISTORICAL SHARE PRICES (fiscal year-end)
40Fiscal YearFY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
41End-of-Year Price ($)
42Source: Yahoo Finance (historical prices) → select fiscal year-end closing price
43
44D — PEER VALUATION MULTIPLES (market-sourced)
45MetricFCXTECKHBMCMMC
46EV / EBITDA (×)11.010.37.86.8
47P / E (×)41.730.517.823.4
48FCF Yield (%)1.2-0.92.42.3
49
ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUV
1
2Colour key:
3TickerSCCO
4Company NameSouthern Copper Corporation
5Sector / IndustryMetals & Mining — Copper
6Fiscal Year End1.11
7Currency
8Current Share Price172.97142,890.50
9Report Date2026-06-07
10Source (10-K filing date)
11
12INCOME STATEMENT ($M)
1320152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Q1'24Q2'24Q3'24Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26
14Revenue5,0465,3806,6557,0977,2867,98510,934.1010,047.909,895.8011,433.4013,4202,599.803,118.302,930.902,784.403,121.903,0513,377.303,869.804,251.40
15Cost of Goods Sold2,9283,0343,2533,4093,6073,9303,894.404,649.104,687.704,841.405,359.201,157.601,248.901,223.101,211.801,319.201,211.701,356.801,471.501,498.80
16Gross Profit2,1182,3463,4023,6883,6794,0557,039.705,398.805,208.106,5928,060.801,442.201,869.401,707.801,572.601,802.701,839.302,020.502,398.302,752.60
17SG&A91103132126125.20125127.20130.50137.8030.8033.9031.2034.5031.7032.5033.7039.9035.80
18R&D00000000000
19Total OpEx (excl. COGS)CLEARED 2026-06-06: SCCO prints no OpEx-excl-COGS subtotal (extractor NOT_FOUND); legacy values had mixed definitions across years
20EBITDA1,9252,2113,2903,5563,5173,8966,871.105,232.105,025.906,400.607,870.101,398.701,816.901,663.401,521.601,759.301,793.201,976.602,341.102,706.10
21D&A511647671675764775806796.30833.60845.90868.40209209.60213.10214.20223.80206.20207.80230.70225.70
22EBIT (Operating Income)1,4141,5642,6192,8812,7533,1216,065.104,435.804,192.305,554.707,001.701,189.701,607.301,450.301,307.401,535.501,5871,768.802,110.402,480.40
23Interest Expense357361373393387.90387.10376.30376.50416.7094.2094.1094.1094.20102.30105.60104.30104.40104.50
24Pre-Tax Income2,3032,5892,4272,7465,696.804,247.803,955.805,357.406,784.301,155.501,530.601,426.701,244.501,478.501,543.901,724.102,037.702,444.10
25Tax Expense1,5741,0469411,1762,299.201,596.101,518.901,975.302,470.10423.40578.80526.40446.70532.80576619.70741.70891
26Net Income7367777291,5431,4861,5703,397.102,638.502,425.203,376.804,334.90736950.20896.70793.90945.90973.401,107.601,307.901,576.90
27Diluted EPS0.942.001.922.034.393.413.054.215.240.951.221.150.891.191.211.351.531.92
28Diluted Shares Out. (M)803.0782.0781.0781.0781.0781.0773.1773.1795.3802.9826.6826.10773.1777.9782.9792.5822.7821.70
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30BALANCE SHEET ($M)
3120152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Q1'24Q2'24Q3'24Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26
32Total Cash & Equivalents2755461,0058451,9252,1843,0022,069.701,151.503,258.104,304.601,252.201,875.302,654.803,258.104,116.303,334.903,949.604,304.604,915.40
33Short-term Debt004000299.7000499.800499.50499.60499.80500499.80499.800
34Long-term Debt5,9525,9545,9575,9606,5416,5446,247.906,2516,254.605,758.506,750.706,255.505,7575,757.805,758.506,7476,748.206,749.406,750.706,751.90
35Total Debt5,9525,9545,9575,9606,9416,5446,547.606,2516,254.606,258.306,750.706,255.506,256.506,257.406,258.307,2477,2487,249.206,750.706,751.90
36Net Debt5,6775,4084,9525,1155,0164,3603,545.604,181.305,103.103,000.202,446.105,003.304,381.203,602.603,000.203,130.703,913.103,299.602,446.101,836.50
37Total Current Assets2,4842,5663,1703,1804,1854,8156,139.605,1884,429.506,174.308,352.504,440.805,333.705,926.406,174.307,2207,002.407,669.608,352.508,717
38Total Current Liabilities9209991,1681,2161,4771,3852,2501,2361,388.502,248.102,145.101,3401,898.202,139.402,248.101,944.401,3291,6982,145.101,992.40
39Total Assets12,59313,23413,78014,28816,40716,94718,297.6017,27716,725.3018,713.5021,381.4016,789.3017,777.7018,415.5018,713.5019,791.2019,554.7020,331.8021,381.4021,929.90
40Total Liabilities7,2357,3037,5707,6139,5439,67110,089.809,130.809,244.109,475.3010,276.509,247.609,285.209,494.509,541.9010,222.909,569.909,881.9010,343.3010,142.30
41Shareholders' Equity5,2995,8716,1496,6136,8587,224.808,149.208,084.207,418.109,171.6011,038.10AUDIT CYCLE 2: EQUITY FY2020: parent-only per SCCO 10k 2020.pdf p.173 (audit A276; was 7,276.0 total incl. NCI)7,541.708,492.508,9219,171.609,568.309,984.8010,449.9011,038.1011,787.60
42Minority Interest59606162651.2058.606263.1066.6066.80AUDIT CYCLE 2: MINORITY FY2020: companion to equity fix, same page64.2067.7068.4066.6068.4068.606766.8071.80
43Intangible Assets & Goodwill155154153148148143138.10135130.20124.60122.40128.80127.30125.40124.60122.60121.70120.90122.40122.60
44PP&E8,2638,7679,1009,4049,3719,4599,464.409,5979,782.909,883.3010,272.209,783.209,871.509,927.109,883.309,934.609,91510,002.1010,272.2010,468.10
45Receivables5516699769739121,068.901,358.701,394.101,141.101,189.601,951.20AUDIT CYCLE 2: RECEIVABLES FY2020: trade-only per same balance sheet (audit A230; was 1,137.0 incl. other receivables)1,293.901,622.301,530.201,189.601,548.101,557.701,719.401,951.202,016.30
46Payables647584660673598595591.90658652.60615.20861.50748.50647.20609.30615.20684.40647.20739.20861.50906
47Inventory8571,0101,0421,0331,069950972.901,0141,016.901,048.901,058.101,014.401,017.20990.501,048.90966.101,005.201,031.301,058.10959.20
48Retained Earnings4,8125,4555,7266,1876,4366,8467,769.707,7027,033.506,839.605,797.207,156.707,180.907,142.806,839.606,682.806,459.406,1165,797.205,292.70
49CASH FLOW STATEMENT ($M)
5020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Q1'24Q2'24Q3'24Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26
51Cash from Operations8809231,9772,2351,9122,7844,292.402,802.503,573.104,421.704,752.10659.70962.101,439.401,360.50721.40976.801,559.601,494.301,694.50
52Capital Expenditures1,1501,1191,0231,121707592-892.30-948.50-1,008.60-1,027.30-1,325.30-213.80-331.80-246.40-235.30-317.80-235.70-349.20-422.60-441.90
53Free Cash Flow-270-1969541,1141,2052,1923,400.101,8542,564.503,394.403,426.80445.90630.301,1931,125.20403.60741.101,210.401,071.701,252.60
54Stock-Based Compensation202122222325
55Dividends Paid-271-139-456-1,082-1,237-1,160-2,473.80-2,705.80-3,092.40-1,637.20-2,485.10-618.50-773.10-468.80-549.90-553.30-557.40-643.30-731.10-819.20
56Share Repurchases1,00472000000
57Historical Share Price (Period-End)
ABCDEFGHIJKLM
1
2Colour key:Company filingOnline / marketComputedAnalyst input
31. COST OF CAPITAL (WACC)
4Risk-Free Rate (10Y UST)4.5%
5Equity Risk Premium (Damodaran)4.2%
6Beta (Levered)1.1
7Size Premium0.0%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
8Company-Specific Risk Premium2.2%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
9Cost of Equity (Ke)11.6%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
10Pre-tax Cost of Debt (Kd)6.4%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
11Marginal Tax Rate38.2%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
12After-tax Cost of Debt4.0%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
13Debt / Total Capital (market)1.7%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
14Equity / Total Capital (market)98.3%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
15WACC11.5%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
16
172. DCF MODEL — BASE CASE
18Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Terminal
19─ Assumptions (blue = inputs) ─
20Revenue Growth Rate6.0%7.0%6.0%4.0%3.0%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
21EBITDA Margin55.0%55.5%56.0%56.0%56.0%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
22D&A / Revenue6.5%6.5%7.0%7.0%7.0%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
23CapEx / Revenue12.0%12.0%10.5%10.0%10.0%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
24Change in NWC / Revenue15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
25Effective Tax Rate38.2%38.2%38.2%38.2%38.2%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
26Terminal Growth Rate2.5%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
27Exit EV/EBITDA Multiple9.0market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
28
29─ Projected Financials ($M) ─
30Base Revenue (latest FY)13,420market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
31Projected Revenue14,225.2015,22116,134.2016,779.6017,283market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
32Projected EBITDA7,823.908,447.609,035.209,396.609,678.50market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
33Projected D&A
34Projected EBIT6,899.207,458.307,905.808,2228,468.70market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
35Tax on EBIT
36NOPAT (EBIT × (1-t))4,260.304,605.504,881.805,077.105,229.40market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
37(+) D&A
38(-) Capital Expenditures
39(-) Change in NWC
40Unlevered Free Cash Flow (UFCF)3,357.103,6194,180.104,476.904,635.40market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
41
42─ Terminal Value ─
43TV: Perpetuity Growth Method52,909.60market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
44TV: Exit Multiple Method87,106.20market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
45TV Divergence (%)
46Selected Terminal Value (avg)52,909.60market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
47Implied TV / EBITDA_5
48Terminal Value as % of EV67.9%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
49
50─ Present Value & Equity Bridge ─
51Discount Factor (1/(1+WACC)^n)
52PV of UFCF3,011.402,9123,017.202,898.602,692.20market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
53Sum of PV of UFCFs14,531.30market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
54PV of Terminal Value30,729.10market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
55Enterprise Value (EV)45,260.40market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
56(-) Net Debt (latest)2,446.10market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
57(-) Minority Interest66.80market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
58(+) Non-operating Assets
59Equity Value42,747.50market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
60Diluted Shares Outstanding (M)826.1Market share count (SEC EDGAR Q1'26 10-Q cover) — divisor of the per-share fair values; see market_data.json
61DCF Fair Value / Share51.75market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
62Upside / Downside vs Price-70.1%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
63
643a. DCF — BEAR CASE
65Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Terminal
66─ BEAR Assumptions ─
67Revenue Growth RateBear case = standard adjustments to base (growth −2pp, EBITDA margin −1pp, TGR −0.5pp), fully documented in valuation_assumptions.json; output at B88
68EBITDA Margin
69D&A / Revenue
70CapEx / Revenue
71Change in NWC / Revenue
72Effective Tax Rate
73Terminal Growth Rate
74Exit EV/EBITDA Multiple
75
76─ BEAR Projected UFCF ─
77Projected Revenue
78Projected EBITDA
79Projected EBIT
80UFCF
81
82TV (Perpetuity Growth)
83TV (Exit Multiple)
84Selected TV (avg)
85PV of UFCFs
86PV of Terminal Value
87Enterprise Value
88BEAR DCF Fair Value / Share44.83market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
89
903b. DCF — BULL CASE
91Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Terminal
92─ BULL Assumptions ─
93Revenue Growth RateBull case = mirror adjustments (+2pp/+1pp/+0.5pp); output at B114
94EBITDA Margin
95D&A / Revenue
96CapEx / Revenue
97Change in NWC / Revenue
98Effective Tax Rate
99Terminal Growth Rate
100Exit EV/EBITDA Multiple
101
102─ BULL Projected UFCF ─
103Projected Revenue
104Projected EBITDA
105Projected EBIT
106UFCF
107
108TV (Perpetuity Growth)
109TV (Exit Multiple)
110Selected TV (avg)
111PV of UFCFs
112PV of Terminal Value
113Enterprise Value
114BULL DCF Fair Value / Share59.86market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
115
1164. MULTIPLES-BASED VALUATION
117MethodCompany MetricTarget MultipleImplied EV or EquityPer Share FV
118P/E × EPS22.0market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
119EV/EBITDA × EBITDA12.0market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
120EV/EBIT × EBIT13.5market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
121P/FCF × FCF/Share25.0market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
122FCF Yield → Price4.0%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
123
1245. REVERSE DCF — IMPLIED GROWTH AT CURRENT PRICE
125Current Market Cap ($M)
126Current Enterprise Value ($M)
127Latest UFCF ($M, proxy = FCF)
128Assumed margin stable at (%)
129Terminal Growth (same as Base)
130Implied Perpetuity Growth Rate
131InterpretationIf implied g > terminal g, market expects above-trend growth
132
1336. COMPOSITE FAIR VALUE
134MethodBearBaseBullWeight
135DCF (Section 2/3)44.8351.7559.8625.0%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
136P/E Relative (Section 4)97.99115.28132.5725.0%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
137EV/EBITDA Relative (Section 4)94.13111.28128.4325.0%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
138FCF Yield (Section 4)90.18103.70122.0025.0%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
139
140Weighted FV / Scenario
141Scenario Probability
142
143COMPOSITE FAIR VALUE81.7895.50110.72market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
144Current Share Price172.97
145Upside / Downside-44.8%market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
146
1477. SENSITIVITY: WACC × TERMINAL GROWTH → DCF FV/SHARE
148WACC \ TGR| WACC \ TGR | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% | |---|---|---|---|---|---| | 10.48% | 53.6 | 56.0 | 58.8 | 62.0 | 65.6 | | 10.98% | 50.5 | 52.6 | 55.1 | 57.8 | 60.9 | | **11.48%** | **47.7** | **49.6** | **51.7** | **54.1** | **56.8** | | 11.98% | 45.2 | 46.9 | 48.8 | 50.9 | 53.2 | | 12.48% | 42.9 | 44.4 | 46.1 | 48.0 | 50.0 |market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
149
150
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154
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157
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1597b. SENSITIVITY: WACC × EXIT MULTIPLE → DCF FV/SHARE
160WACC \ Exit Mult| WACC \ Exit EV/EBITDA | 7.0x | 8.0x | 9.0x | 10.0x | 11.0x | |---|---|---|---|---|---| | 10.48% | 64.9 | 72.0 | 79.1 | 86.2 | 93.3 | | 10.98% | 63.5 | 70.5 | 77.4 | 84.4 | 91.3 | | **11.48%** | **62.2** | **69.0** | **75.8** | **82.6** | **89.4** | | 11.98% | 60.9 | 67.5 | 74.2 | 80.9 | 87.5 | | 12.48% | 59.6 | 66.1 | 72.7 | 79.2 | 85.7 |market-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
161
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171
1728. VERDICT
173Rating (BUY / ADD / HOLD / REDUCE / SELL)SELLmarket-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
17412-Month Target Price95.50
175Conviction (High / Moderate / Low)Mediummarket-researcher | valuation-agent | as-of:
176Key Catalyst (with timeframe)
177Key Risk (with quantified downside)
178Thesis Summary (1-2 sentences)
179
180─ Scenario Multiple Inputs ─
181P/E Multiple (Bear)
182P/E Multiple (Bull)
183EV/EBITDA Multiple (Bear)
184EV/EBITDA Multiple (Bull)
185FCF Yield (Bear)
186FCF Yield (Bull)
ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTU
1
2Colour key:
3Period
4Gross Margin42.0%43.6%51.1%52.0%50.5%50.8%64.4%53.7%52.6%57.7%60.1%
5EBITDA Margin38.1%41.1%49.4%50.1%48.3%48.8%62.8%52.1%50.8%56.0%58.6%
6Operating Margin28.0%29.1%39.4%40.6%37.8%39.1%55.5%44.1%42.4%48.6%52.2%
7Net Margin14.6%14.4%11.0%21.7%20.4%19.7%31.1%26.3%24.5%29.5%32.3%
8FCF Margin-5.4%-3.6%14.3%15.7%16.5%27.5%31.1%18.5%25.9%29.7%25.5%
9
10RETURNS
11Period
12ROE13.9%13.9%12.1%24.2%22.1%22.3%44.2%32.5%31.3%40.7%42.9%
13ROA5.8%6.0%5.4%11.0%9.7%9.4%19.3%14.8%14.3%19.1%21.6%
14ROIC10.2%11.1%7.4%15.0%14.3%15.2%31.1%23.1%20.8%28.4%34.7%
15Interest Coverage7.38.07.47.915.611.511.114.816.8
16Debt / Equity1.11.01.00.91.00.90.80.80.80.70.6
17Current Ratio2.72.62.72.62.83.52.74.23.22.73.9
18Total Debt / EBITDA3.12.71.81.72.01.71.01.21.21.00.9
19
20GROWTH RATES (YoY)
21Period
22Revenue Growth6.6%23.7%6.6%2.7%9.6%36.9%-8.1%-1.5%15.5%17.4%
23EBITDA Growth14.9%48.8%8.1%-1.1%10.8%76.4%-23.9%-3.9%27.4%23.0%
24EPS Growth112.8%-4.0%5.7%116.3%-22.3%-10.6%38.0%24.5%
25Net Income Growth5.6%-6.2%111.7%-3.7%5.7%116.4%-22.3%-8.1%39.2%28.4%
26FCF Growth27.4%586.7%16.8%8.2%81.9%55.1%-45.5%38.3%32.4%1.0%
27
28PER SHARE METRICS
29Period
30Book Value / Share6.607.517.878.478.789.2510.5410.469.3311.4213.35
31FCF / Share-0.34-0.251.221.431.542.814.402.403.224.234.15
32Revenue / Share6.286.888.529.099.3310.2214.1413.0012.4414.2416.24
33
34SOLVENCY & CAPITAL STRUCTURE
35Period
36Primary Structure Margin ($M)
37Primary Structure Ratio
38Secondary Structure Margin ($M)
39Secondary Structure Ratio
40Degree of Asset Rigidity
41Financial Autonomy (Equity)
42Financial Autonomy (LT Debt)
43Financial Autonomy (ST Debt)
44Debt Index
45
46LIQUIDITY RATIOS
47Period
48Working Capital ($M)
49Quick Ratio
50Quick Margin ($M)
51Cash Ratio
52Cash Margin ($M)
53Immediate Liquidity Index
54Inventory Index
55
56EFFICIENCY & ACTIVITY RATIOS
57Period
58Inventory Turnover3.43.33.23.33.43.94.14.74.64.75.1
59Days Inventory Outstanding106.8112.3115.1111.1106.493.890.178.079.177.971.8
60Receivables Turnover9.28.88.17.37.78.19.07.37.89.88.5
61Days Sales Outstanding39.941.445.150.147.245.340.550.046.837.242.7
62Payables Turnover4.54.95.25.15.76.66.67.47.27.67.3
63Days Payables Outstanding80.774.069.871.464.355.455.649.151.047.850.3
64Cash Conversion Cycle (days)66.079.690.489.889.383.675.078.974.867.364.2
65
66VALUATION & SHAREHOLDER METRICS
67Period
68Return on Capital (ROC)
69Gross ROE (EBIT/Equity)
70Hard Assets / Share (PP&E + Cash)
71Tangible Book Value / Share
72Asset Turnover0.400.410.480.500.440.470.600.580.590.610.63
73Dividend Payout Ratio36.8%17.9%62.6%70.1%83.2%73.9%72.8%102.6%127.5%48.5%57.3%
74SBC / Revenue
75SBC / FCF
76FCF Conversion (FCF/NI)-36.7%-25.2%130.9%72.2%81.1%139.6%100.1%70.3%105.7%100.5%79.1%
77CapEx / Revenue22.8%20.8%15.4%15.8%9.7%7.4%8.2%9.4%10.2%9.0%9.9%
78CapEx / D&A2.31.71.51.70.90.81.11.21.21.21.5
79Intangibles / Total Assets
80Net Debt / EBITDA2.92.41.51.41.41.10.50.81.00.50.3
81Effective Tax Rate68.3%40.4%38.8%42.8%40.4%37.6%38.4%36.9%36.4%
82
83
84SHAREHOLDER METRICS
85Period
86Dividend Per Share0.340.180.581.391.581.493.203.503.892.043.01
87Dividend Yield (on current price)0.000.000.000.010.010.010.020.020.020.010.02
88SBC / Net Income2.7%1.4%1.5%1.4%0.7%0.9%
89Buyback Yield0.7%0.1%
90Total Shareholder Return Yield0.9%0.2%0.3%0.8%0.9%0.9%1.8%2.0%2.2%1.2%1.7%
91Price / Tangible Book
92
93VALUATION MULTIPLES (at current price)
94Period
95P/E184.086.590.185.239.450.756.741.133.0
96P/S27.525.120.319.018.516.912.213.313.912.110.7
97P/B26.2123.0421.9720.4319.7018.7016.4116.5418.5415.1412.95
98P/FCF-514.4-690.1141.6121.3112.161.639.372.153.640.941.7
99EV/EBITDA75.163.742.639.439.835.820.026.428.422.218.5
100EV/EBIT102.390.053.548.750.944.722.631.134.025.620.8
101FCF Yield-0.2%-0.1%0.7%0.8%0.9%1.6%2.5%1.4%1.9%2.4%2.4%
102Earnings Yield0.5%1.2%1.1%1.2%2.5%2.0%1.8%2.4%3.0%
103PEG Ratio (3Y / 5Y / 10Y EPS CAGR)
104
105ALTMAN Z-SCORE
106Period
107X1: Working Capital / TA0.10.10.10.10.20.20.20.20.20.20.3
108X2: Retained Earnings / TA0.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.3
109X3: EBIT / TA (GAAP)0.10.10.20.20.20.20.30.30.30.30.3
110X4: Equity / TL (book proxy)0.70.80.80.90.70.70.80.90.81.01.1
111X5: Revenue / TA0.40.40.50.50.40.50.60.60.60.60.6
112Altman Z-Score1.92.02.42.52.22.33.02.92.72.93.1
113Zone (>2.99=Safe, 1.81-2.99=Gray, <1.81=Distress)
114Z-Score (Mkt Equity X4)
115
116DUPONT DECOMPOSITION (ROE = Margin × Turnover × Leverage)
117Period
118Net Profit Margin (NI/Rev)14.6%14.4%11.0%21.7%20.4%19.7%31.1%26.3%24.5%29.5%32.3%
119Asset Turnover (Rev/TA)0.40.40.50.50.50.50.60.60.60.60.7
120Equity Multiplier (TA/Eq)2.42.32.22.22.32.42.32.22.22.12.0
121DuPont ROE (check)13.9%13.9%12.1%24.2%22.1%22.3%44.2%32.5%31.3%40.7%42.9%
122─ 5-Factor DuPont ─
123Tax Burden (NI / PreTax)0.30.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.6
124Interest Burden (PreTax / EBIT)0.90.90.90.90.91.00.91.01.0
125EBIT Margin (EBIT / Rev)28.0%29.1%39.4%40.6%37.8%39.1%55.5%44.1%42.4%48.6%52.2%
1265-Factor DuPont ROE (check)
127
128QUARTERLY TREND ANALYSIS
129
130Revenue QoQ
131Net Income QoQ
132EPS QoQ
133EBITDA QoQ
134FCF QoQ
135
136─ Year-over-Year (Quarter) ─
137Revenue YoY-Q
138Net Income YoY-Q
139EPS YoY-Q
140EBITDA YoY-Q
141FCF YoY-Q
142
143─ Quarterly Margins ─
144Gross Margin (Q)
145EBITDA Margin (Q)
146Operating Margin (Q)
147Net Margin (Q)
148FCF Margin (Q)
149
150
151COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH RATES (CAGR)
152Metric3Y CAGR5Y CAGR10Y CAGR
153Revenue10.1%10.9%10.3%
154EBITDA14.6%15.1%15.1%
155Net Income18.0%22.5%19.4%
156Diluted EPS15.4%20.9%
157Free Cash Flow22.7%9.3%
158Operating Cash Flow19.2%11.3%18.4%
159Dividends / Share-4.9%15.1%24.4%
160Shares Outstanding2.3%1.1%0.3%
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169RECONCILIATION CHECKS
170Period
171EBITDA ≠ EBIT+D&A? (should be 0)
172NI ≠ PreTax-Tax? (non-zero = other inc/exp)
173Equity = Assets - Liabilities? (should be 0)
174
175VALUATION MULTIPLES (at period-end price)
176Period
177P/E (historical)
178P/S (historical)
179P/B (historical)
180P/FCF (historical)
181EV/EBITDA (historical)
182EV/EBIT (historical)
183FCF Yield (historical)
184Earnings Yield (historical)
185Dividend Yield (historical)
ABCDEFGHIJKLM
1Peer Comparison Data
2CompanyFreeport-McMoRan Inc.Teck Resources LimitedHudbay Minerals Inc.Capstone Copper Corp.ComputedAnalyst inputmarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
3TickerFCXTECKHBMCMMCmarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
4Accounting Std.US GAAPIFRSIFRSIFRSmarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
5Fiscal Year EndDecemberDecemberDecemberDecembermarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
6Filing Type10-K40-F40-FAnnual FS (SEDAR+)market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
7PeriodFY2025FY2025FY2025FY2025market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
8P&L METRICS
9
10Revenue ($M)25,915.07,694.92,211.02,359.9market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
11EBIT Margin25.220.941.529.9market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
12EBITDA Margin33.837.261.350.3market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
13Net Margin8.513.025.713.4market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
14Gross Margin28.224.733.6market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
15FCF Margin4.3-3.310.97.0market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
16RETURNS & EFFICIENCY
17ROIC11.75.815.411.2market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
18ROE11.75.617.69.3market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
19ROA3.83.19.14.4market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
20Asset Turnover0.450.240.360.33market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
21LEVERAGE
22Net Debt / EBITDA0.63-0.280.320.60market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
23Debt / Equity0.500.160.310.30market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
24Interest Coverage17.72.515.14.8market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
25Current Ratio2.292.540.951.20market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
26VALUATION MULTIPLES
27EV / EBITDA11.010.37.86.8market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
28P / E41.730.517.823.4market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
29FCF Yield1.2-0.92.42.3market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
30WORKING CAPITAL
31Days Sales Outstanding13.887.062.454.6market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
32Days Inventory Outstanding146.9123.849.554.7market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
33Days Payables Outstanding89.5153.485.2101.4market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
34Cash Conversion Cycle71.257.426.77.9market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
35CapEx / Revenue17.317.121.122.0market-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49DATA QUALITY FLAGS
50RevenueOKIFRS_TRANSLATEDIFRSIFRSmarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
51EBIT MarginOKIFRSIFRS_IMPAIRMENT_REVERSALIFRS_IMPAIRMENT_REVERSALmarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
52EBITDA Marginmarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
53Net Marginmarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
54Gross Marginmarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
55FCF Marginmarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
56ROICmarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
57ROEmarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
58ROAmarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
59Asset Turnovermarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
60Net Debt / EBITDAmarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
61EV / EBITDAMARKET_SOURCEDMARKET_SOURCED_IFRS_TRANSLATEDMARKET_SOURCEDMARKET_SOURCEDmarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of:
62P / Emarket-researcher | peer-researcher | as-of: